World Immigration News

Germany is aging and shrinking much faster than expected

Release Date
2026-02-28
Media
DW
Summary
Germany is facing a sharp population decline and rapid aging due to a very low birth rate of 1.35 children per woman. In 2025, about 650,000 children were born while around one million people died, causing the population to fall to about 83.5 million. Economic insecurity, housing shortages, high rents, and unreliable childcare make it difficult for many people to have children despite still wanting families.

Population projections suggest that Germany’s population could shrink by around 10% by 2070, and immigration alone will not be enough to stop the decline. At the same time, the country is aging quickly: by 2035 about one in four people will be over 67, and the number of people over 80 is expected to rise significantly.

This trend will place strong pressure on the pension, healthcare, and care systems, while labor shortages will worsen. For example, the elderly care sector may need about 690,000 workers by 2049, far more than today. Although immigration can ease demographic pressures, experts say it cannot fully solve Germany’s workforce and social security challenges.
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Germany

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